Will Justify win the Triple Crown? | The Tylt

Will Justify win the Triple Crown?

After winning the Kentucky Derby and Preakness, Justify is the favorite to win the Belmont Stakes to complete the Triple Crown. Many feel the equine has a good shot to become a horse-racing legend, winning all three of the Triple Crown races. Still, only 12 horses have won the prestigious achievement since 1875. Justify is good, but he's not good enough to join that club. What do you think? 🏇

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Justify dominated the field on a sloppy track at the Kentucky Derby and won in foggy conditions at the Preakness. His pace and stamina at the end of the race were impressive, and it's only a matter of time before the Kentucky-bred colt gives legendary trainer Bob Baffert his second Triple Crown horse. Here is Jason Frakes of the Louisville Courier-Journal with more:

Justify is undefeated in his five career races, and the Preakness was the only one he didn’t win by at least 2 ½ lengths as he beat Bravazo by a half-length.

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Baffert said the margin of victory was somewhat misleading.

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“(Jockey Mike Smith) said he could have won by more,” Baffert said. “When the horses come to him, he sort of takes off again. … He was blowing pretty good (after the race), but he wasn’t really as tired as we thought he was.”
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There's a reason the Triple Crown only has 12 winners in 140-plus years of existence: it's really freakin' hard. Horses have to be fast enough to win the approximately mile-and-a-quarter races at the Kentucky Derby and Preakness, while still having enough endurance not to fade at the longer mile-and-a-half sprint at Belmont.

Justify was dominant at the Derby and Preakness, but he's not fast enough to sustain that dominance in the other two races. A Triple Crown winner will not happen in 2018. Here is Jason Frakes, again:

The Belmont will be Justify’s sixth race in 16 weeks, starting with a maiden win on Feb. 18 at Santa Anita Park. And his victories in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes both came while running on sloppy tracks, which generally take more out of horses than fast tracks.
His Beyer Speed Figure of 97 in the Preakness was the lowest of his career, so perhaps he’s on a decline.
FINAL RESULTS
Sports
Will Justify win the Triple Crown?
A festive crown for the winner
#TripleCrownJustify
#NoTripleCrown