Who will win Texas' Senate seat: Beto O'Rourke or Ted Cruz? | The Tylt

Who will win Texas' Senate seat: Beto O'Rourke or Ted Cruz?

As the midterm elections fast approach, Democrats and Republicans are fighting to make sure things shake out in their favor. Democrat Beto O'Rourke is challenging incumbent Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018. While Democrats believe they can pull out an upset in Texas this year, Republicans don't think Beto stands a chance. Texas is a red state, Democrats are living in a fantasyland. Can Democrats turn Texas blue? 

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Who will win Texas' Senate seat: Beto O'Rourke or Ted Cruz?
#TeamCruz
A festive crown for the winner
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Who will win Texas' Senate seat: Beto O'Rourke or Ted Cruz?
#TeamCruz
#TeamBeto
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It's been over 20 years since Texas had a Democratic senator, and while Texans may not love President Trump, that doesn't mean they will vote Democratic in 2018. The latest FiveThirtyEight poll had Cruz leading Beto (though only by single digits). Beto may be getting attention from the national media, but that doesn't mean he'll win in November.

The Ted Cruz campaign describes him as a "bold defender of the Constitution."

"Ted is our advocate in Washington for smaller government, job growth, individual liberty, and our national sovereignty. He is a leading voice for economic policies and regulatory reforms that target job growth. Widely recognized as a bold defender of the Constitution, Ted understands that the freedoms we enjoy must be protected and preserved for future generations. On issues ranging from border security and immigration, to addressing threats from radical Islam or rogue nations like North Korea, Ted has been a resolute defender of our nation."
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And O'Rourke isn't the first liberal who was touted as the lone candidate who could turn Texas blue—or at least a little purple. Four years ago, Wendy Davis, who shot to prominence after her filibuster—in pink sneakers—during an abortion rights debate went viral. Davis used that popularity to spur on a campaign for governor against ultraconservative Greg Abbott. Per The New York Times

She lost by 20 points. She believes she recognizes her mistakes now.
“One of those was talking far too much about everything that was wrong with my opponent. One of those was trying to take a qualified position on gun regulation, gun safety, because it was perceived as such a hot-button issue,” Ms. Davis said. “You have your speechwriter, and you have your pollsters and your message architect. And somewhere in the midst of that you lose yourself.”
Ms. Davis’s failure has been invoked often lately, by Republicans who see parallels in Mr. O’Rourke’s rise and by Democrats who tell themselves that this time is different.
#TeamBeto

Yet, Beto O'Rourke's star continues to rise. He's riding a wave of viral popularity surging on a range of silly videos of him air drumming to The Who's hit song "Baba O'Riley" after a recent debate with Cruz, to incisive answers on whether kneeling for the anthem is un-American

O'Rourke's Senate bid is being helped by how deeply unpopular his opponent is, both in Texas and nationally. O'Rourke, currently the congressman representing El Paso in Texas' 16th district, has consistently outraised Cruz through grassroots efforts. 

A spokesperson from the Beto campaign told The Tylt:

"Running this campaign without a dime from PACs, special interests, or corporations has allowed us to drive to all 254 counties of Texas where we've held town halls and listened to those we want to represent. Sitting down with Republicans, Democrats, independents, and non-voters alike, we've heard that our fellow Texans want to look beyond anything that might otherwise divide us and get after the big, bold, important work ahead of us."
"They want to join a people-powered campaign focused on ensuring we can all see a doctor and get the care we need not as a function of luck or circumstance but as a fundamental right, that we have great public schools where our tax dollars aren't turned into vouchers, that everyone can afford higher education, that we can each find work with dignity and purpose that pays a living wage , and that we finally treat everyone with respect. Putting our trust in people not PACs, focusing on these critical issues, and refusing to write anyone off or take anyone for granted is how we'll deliver for Texas."
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#TeamBeto

People absolutely loathe Ted Cruz though. Conservative columnist Bret Stephens explained his hatred of Cruz in a recent piece.

Because he’s like a serpent covered in Vaseline. Because he treats the American people like two-bit suckers in 10-gallon hats. Because he sucks up to the guy who insulted his wife — by retweet, no less. Because of his phony piety and even phonier principles. Because I see him as the spiritual love child of the 1980s televangelist Jimmy Swaggart and Jack Nicholson’s character in “The Shining.” Because his ethics are purely situational. Because he makes Donald Trump look like a human being by comparison. Because “New York values.” Because his fellow politicians detest him, and that’s just among Republicans. Because he never got over being the smartest kid in eighth grade. Because he’s conniving enough to try to put one over you, but not perceptive enough to realize that you see right through him. Because he’s the type of man who would sell his family into slavery if that’s what it took to get elected. And that he would use said slavery as a sob story to get himself re-elected.
Cruz has also been roundly criticized for his campaign tactics. The Cruz campaign recently sent out fundraising mailers disguised as jury summons and released a heavily edited video of one of O'Rourke's speeches, erroneously implying he supported flag burning. O'Rourke, conversely, has made a concerted effort to avoid a smear campaign. Bloomberg reported on a recent debate between the candidates: 

O’Rourke can also combine charity with toughness. In his recent debate with Cruz, the candidates were asked to identify something they admired about their opponent. O’Rourke’s response was gracious: “I have no question that Senator Cruz wants to do the best for America, and he does so at great sacrifice to his family and to his kids,” and ended, “I thank you, Senator Cruz for your public service.”
Cruz took a different approach. He told his opponent that “You are absolutely sincere, like Bernie [Sanders], that you believe in expanding government and higher taxes.” O’Rourke’s response to Cruz was understated, devastating and also Reaganesque: “True to form.”
FINAL RESULTS
Politics
Who will win Texas' Senate seat: Beto O'Rourke or Ted Cruz?
#TeamCruz
A festive crown for the winner
#TeamBeto